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Sehr geehrte Damen und Herren
An den Aktienmärkten ist in den letzten Tagen wieder Ruhe eingekehrt. Nachdem die ersten Wochen im Jahr gründlich misslangen und die Investoren ihr Augenmerk nur auf die Abwärtsrisiken richteten, machte sich zuletzt wieder eine gewisse Zuversicht bemerkbar, dass die globale Konjunktur doch nicht geradewegs in eine Rezession schlittern wird. Dennoch überwiegt der Pessimismus. Das Vertrauen, dass die Notenbanken mit mannigfaltigen Massnahmen die Konjunktur anzukurbeln vermögen, schwindet. So wurden in den letzten Wochen die Wachstumsprognosen für alle Weltregionen wiederholt nach unten revidiert. Jüngstes Beispiel ist die OECD, die für 2016 noch ein Wachstum der Weltwirtschaft von 3% prognostiziert. In der kurzen Frist bleiben die Fundamentaldaten allerdings zufriedenstellend. Entsprechend sind die Aktienmärkte vorerst noch attraktiv.
Lesen Sie mehr in unserem Market Insights zum Thema "Wachstumsdynamik bleibt aus".
Freundliche Grüsse
Anastassios Frangulidis
Chefökonom und Chefstratege der Zürcher Kantonalbank
Head Multi Asset Research, SOM
Zürcher Kantonalbank
Telefon 044 292 21 64, Fax 044 448 90 98
Briefadresse: Postfach, 8010 Zürich / www.zkb.ch
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