First Trust Global Portfolios Limited
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Brian Wesbury Weekly Outlook
10.10.2017 11:31 - First Trust Global Portfolios Limited: If the current economic expansion lasts another year and a half, it’ll be the longest on record, even surpassing the expansion of the 1990s that ended in early 2001. Notice how we didn’t say it’ll be the “best” expansion of all-time, just the longest; it’s not the best by a long shot. From the recession bottom to the expansion peak, real GDP expanded 39% in the 1980s and 43% in the 1990s. So far,...
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Brian Wesbury Weekly Outlook
03.10.2017 16:51 - First Trust Global Portfolios Limited: Stocks Won Next Monday (October 9th) will be exactly ten years from the stock market peak before the Financial Panic of 2008. Imagine that Doctor Doom, the perceived “best analyst in the business,” told you on that night, when markets peaked, that financial authorities would allow mark-to-market accounting rules to burn the banking system to the ground, with many well-known financial firms failing or...
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Brian Wesbury Weekly Outlook
07.09.2017 08:50 - First Trust Global Portfolios Limited: Hurricane Economics The hits keep coming. Hurricane Harvey left destruction in its wake, and now, Hurricane Irma has Florida in its sights. It’s been five years since Hurricane Sandy, nine years since Ike and twelve years since Katrina. As with all major weather events, personal tragedy, pain, suffering, and loss are left in their wake. We have prayed, and continue to pray, for those affected....
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Brian Wesbury Weekly Outlook
29.08.2017 16:11 - First Trust Global Portfolios Limited: Don't Fret DC Debt Drama Think that title sounds familiar? It is. We’ve been here before. And, as before, the “debt ceiling” is a gold mine for some politicians, journalists and analysts. A possible government shutdown, or reaching a “hard” debt ceiling, are both fun for pessimists to talk about. It seems to happen every couple of years and, as we’ve always said in the past, any dire...
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Brian Wesbury Weekly Outlook
15.08.2017 13:34 - First Trust Global Portfolios Limited: Consumers are doing fine It’s hard to read the business pages or watch the business news without seeing a story about the death of the consumer. In particular, the business press continues to be obsessed by relative weakness among traditional brick and mortar stores. There’s no denying that the business model for delivering goods and services to consumers is changing fast. But that doesn’t...
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Brian Wesbury Weekly Outlook
08.08.2017 14:17 - First Trust Global Portfolios Limited: For many years now a relatively large contingent of analysts, investors and journalists has been convinced the stock market was in a bubble because the “Shiller P-E” ratio was just too high. Back on 8/12/2013, in our Monday Morning Outlook, we made our case that the Shiller model was too pessimistic. Now that looks like a pretty good call. In the past four years, the bull market in stocks has...
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Brian Wesbury Weekly Outlook
25.07.2017 14:53 - First Trust Global Portfolios Limited: Since the start of the economic recovery in mid-2009, real GDP has grown at an average annual rate of 2.1%. The second quarter of this year doesn’t look much different. Our calculations suggest real GDP grew at a 2.5% annual rate in Q2, exactly the same as the consensus forecast. That’s an acceleration from the 1.4% pace in Q1 and we expect better growth ahead. But consistently better growth is going...
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Brian Wesbury Weekly Outlook
06.06.2017 13:27 - First Trust Global Portfolios Limited: Late last week automakers reported selling cars and light trucks at an annual rate of 16.7 million units in May, down 3% from May 2016. If you look at a twelve-month moving average, sales peaked back in April 2016 and have been trending lower, ever since. Meanwhile, the twelve-month averages for home construction, prices, and sales are still hitting new highs for the current economic expansion. The...
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Brian Wesbury Weekly Outlook
31.05.2017 13:48 - First Trust Global Portfolios Limited: Now that we’re eight years into a bull market, some investors just assume something has to go wrong. As a result, we see lots of stories and get lots of questions about “bubbles,” as in "what market or sector is in a bubble already?" Auto sales have been declining lately. In eight of the last nine months (we have data through April), US sales of cars and light trucks have been lower than the same month...
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First Trust Global Portfolios Brian Wesbury Weekly Outlook
24.05.2017 11:17 - First Trust Global Portfolios Limited: While some investors are freaking out about investigations, tweets, or the personality of President Trump, we are still watching policy. So far, some regulation has been rolled back and more is on tap, the Supreme Court has a more market friendly make-up, and there is a hiring freeze on many government agencies. These policies will help economic growth, but they are not enough to get it above 2.5%...
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Brian Wesbury Weekly Outlook
24.01.2017 16:16 - First Trust Global Portfolios Limited: A memorable part of President Trump’s inaugural speech pointed to mothers and children trapped in poverty, rusted-out factories, a flawed school system, and crime and gangs and drugs. He described these problems as “American carnage” and stated emphatically that it “stops right here and stops right now.” You’d have to go all the way back to President Carter’s “malaise” speech in July 1979, as gas lines...
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OPENING BELL CEREMONY First Trust Global Portfolio
23.01.2017 11:24 - First Trust Global Portfolios Limited: First Trust Global Portfolios Limited cordially invites you to an exclusive Opening Bell Ceremony at SIX Swiss Exchange. The event will celebrate the listing of the First Trust Switzerland AlphaDEX® UCITS ETF (Ticker: FTSZ) on the Swiss Exchange. Event Details Date: Friday, February 10, 2017 Time: 8:30am -10:00am (CET) Venue: SIX Swiss Exchange Selnaustrasse 30, 8021 Zürich,...
